Adaptation to Climate Change impacts on the Nile River Basin
Research & Development
Sep 2009 - Mar 2011
Partners: Univ. Dar Es Salaam, Makerere Univ. Addis Ababa Univ. Uni of Nairobi, NBCBN, HRI
Donor: Stichting IHE
Donor Programme: UNESCO-IHE Partnership Research Fund - part of DUPC
The project aims to develop and test an original methodology to analyze the potential climate change impacts on the hydrology and water resources of the Nile River basin, via a cascade of models: from GCMs output to hydrological modelling through spatial and temporal downscaling. More specifically, the impacts on future climate and hydrology is explored for various sub-catchments of the Blue Nile and Lake Victoria basins as well as the Nile Delta, with a focus on the following pilot cases: Nzoia (Lake Victoria), Gilgel Abbay (Blue Nile), Mpologoma (Lake Kyoga), Nile Delta. Different sources of uncertainty are considered: inaccuracy associated to the type of a GCM model used, uncertainty in the assumptions used to generate the GCM output, data and model uncertainties.